The ruling parties are also losing: The SPD falls to 14.5 percent, the Greens to 11 percent. The Left improves slightly to 11.5 percent and overtakes the Greens. FDP (3.5%) and BSW (4%) would still fail to clear the five-percent hurdle.
Merz loses support
Chancellor Friedrich Merz is more unpopular than ever according to the RTL/ntv trend barometer: 71 percent of Germans are dissatisfied with his work – a new high. Only 26 percent express approval. Even among Union supporters, support has decreased.
Coalition without a Majority
Together, the Union and SPD would only reach around 39 percent, far from a governing majority. Political observers see the AfD on the rise, while the established parties continue to lose support.
The data is based on surveys by Insa (Sept. 30–Oct. 6, 2025, 2001 respondents) and Forsa commissioned by RTL/ntv.
The AfD reaches new record levels, while Chancellor Merz and the Union continue to lose support. The political balance of power in Germany is shifting – with growing risks for the stability of the governing coalition.