Technology

Cybersecurity Thriller: CrowdStrike Plummets After Weak Forecast

Has CrowdStrike lost its luster? Investors are disappointed, the competition is lurking - but the numbers are not as clear as they seem.

Eulerpool News Dec 17, 2024, 1:02 PM

CrowdStrike, the acclaimed star of the cybersecurity industry, came under pressure again. The stock fell on Wednesday morning after the company presented a disappointing earnings forecast. But behind the headlines is a story full of contradictions: impressive revenues, broken records – and an error that shook the industry.

From Records to Setbacks

First, the facts: CrowdStrike forecasts an adjusted profit of 84 to 86 cents per share for the fourth fiscal quarter. Analysts had expected 87 cents – a minimal difference that nevertheless weighed on the share price. And this at a critical time: In July, a faulty update from CrowdStrike had caused computers worldwide to crash and brought industry giants like Delta Airlines to their knees.

But not everything looks gloomy. The revenue in the third quarter was a real bright spot at 1.01 billion US dollars and exceeded Wall Street expectations. The full year revenue forecast was also slightly raised - to up to 3.93 billion US dollars. CEO George Kurtz proudly emphasized that CrowdStrike has now achieved more than 4 billion US dollars in annual recurring revenue, faster than any other pure cybersecurity company before.

The Legacy of an Update

The shadow of the summer fiasco remains, however. A bug in the update caused millions of devices to crash—from banking systems to the healthcare industry. Delta Airlines was particularly affected and estimates the damage at at least 500 million USD. In a lawsuit, the airline directly accuses CrowdStrike, while the company counters: The blame lies with Delta's outdated IT infrastructure.

George Kurtz, unwaveringly optimistic, defended his team's response: "We were tested as a company. We responded with speed, care, and determination, and focused on improvement." But for some investors, the damage seems to be not just financial - it's about trust.

A Dubious Deal

Another piece of the controversy: A $32 million deal with Carahsoft Technology Corp., a distributor for government agencies, is in focus. Originally, the software was intended for the US tax authority IRS – but the order was never completed. CFO Burt Podbere explained that about $26 million in recurring revenue was excluded to reflect this transaction. Whether the deal is a long-term warning sign for CrowdStrike's sales channels remains unclear.

The Hunt for Trust

In an industry that relies on precision and reliability, a single mistake can lead to a chain reaction. Despite impressive financial figures and new records, CrowdStrike remains battered. Investors wonder: Is the company a victim of excessive expectations or is it facing deeper challenges?

The market waits in suspense – and the competition? They are likely standing ready, sensing their chances.

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